Accrington vs Cheltenham
Final Result
3:1
Accrington to win
Our Prediction
Correct
53%
Accrington to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington wins |
53%
±11%
|
1.92 | +1.2% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.35 | -10.4% |
| Cheltenham wins |
21%
±8%
|
3.85 | -20.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Accrington
Cheltenham
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Accrington
Cheltenham
Shots
11.7
10.2
Shots On Target
3.9
3.0
Corners
4.2
4.2
Fouls
11.3
11.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Accrington
Cheltenham
Shots
10.6
11.6
Shots On Target
3.0
3.4
Corners
5.0
5.1
Fouls
14.0
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Accrington Wins
1Draws
3Cheltenham Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2025 | Cheltenham Win | 1:0 | English League Two |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English League Two |
| 1 Oct 2024 | Cheltenham Win | 2:1 | English League Two |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Draw | 0:0 | English League Two |
| 17 Sep 2022 | Accrington Win | 1:0 | English League Two |
Accrington - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | Newport County | 1:4 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Walsall | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0:2 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Notts County | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Harrogate | 1:0 | W |
Cheltenham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Grimsby | 0:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Oldham | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crawley Town | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Crewe | 4:1 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Swindon | 0:2 | L |