Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
43%
±9%
|
2.50 | +6.8% |
| Bologna wins |
32%
±9%
|
2.90 | -8.2% |
| Draw |
26%
±1%
|
3.23 | -17.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bologna
Milan
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Bologna
Milan
Shots
12.9
13.3
Shots On Target
3.8
4.3
Corners
4.5
4.3
Fouls
13.2
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bologna
Milan
Shots
9.8
16.3
Shots On Target
3.3
6.2
Corners
3.1
5.4
Fouls
11.6
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.5
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bologna Wins
1Draws
3Milan Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2025 | Milan Win | 1:0 | Serie A |
| 9 May 2025 | Milan Win | 3:1 | Serie A |
| 27 Feb 2025 | Bologna Win | 2:1 | Serie A |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | Serie A |
| 21 Aug 2023 | Milan Win | 0:2 | Serie A |
Bologna - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 3:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Fiorentina | 1:2 | L |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Verona | 2:3 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Como | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Atalanta | 0:2 | L |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Roma | 1:1 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 1:0 | W |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Como | 1:3 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Fiorentina | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 1:1 | D |