Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo wins |
55%
±9%
|
1.85 | +1.7% |
| Bari wins |
17%
±7%
|
4.55 | -20.4% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
3.23 | -11.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bari
Palermo
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Bari
Palermo
Shots
10.3
14.2
Shots On Target
3.1
4.5
Corners
3.4
5.0
Fouls
14.1
15.1
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bari
Palermo
Shots
13.5
15.8
Shots On Target
3.5
5.5
Corners
5.2
5.3
Fouls
14.2
10.8
Yellow Cards
3.5
2.7
Red Cards
0.5
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bari Wins
1Draws
2Palermo Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2025 | Palermo Win | 2:0 | Serie B |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Bari Win | 2:1 | Serie B |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Palermo Win | 1:0 | Serie B |
| 2 Feb 2024 | Palermo Win | 3:0 | Serie B |
| 18 Aug 2023 | Draw | 0:0 | Serie B |
Bari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cesena | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Juve Stabia | 0:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Carrarese | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Avellino | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Catanzaro | 1:2 | L |
Palermo - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Modena | 0:0 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Spezia | 1:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mantova | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Padova | 1:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Avellino | 2:2 | D |