Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia wins |
38%
±12%
|
2.10 | -21.0% |
| Draw |
31%
±2%
|
2.95 | -9.0% |
| Nancy wins |
32%
±11%
|
3.55 | +11.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bastia
Nancy
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Bastia
Nancy
Shots
11.9
11.0
Shots On Target
3.9
3.1
Corners
4.3
4.3
Fouls
15.0
14.4
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bastia
Nancy
Shots
6.0
7.0
Shots On Target
1.3
4.0
Corners
4.3
5.0
Fouls
16.0
16.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bastia Wins
0Draws
1Nancy Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | Nancy Win | 2:0 | Ligue 2 |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Nancy Win | 2:1 | Ligue 2 |
| 11 Aug 2021 | Draw | 1:1 | Ligue 2 |
Bastia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Montpellier | 0:2 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Laval | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Grenoble | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | St Etienne | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Laval | 0:2 | L |
Nancy - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Rodez | 1:3 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Guingamp | 0:3 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Amiens | 1:2 | W |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Clermont | 1:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Grenoble | 1:0 | L |