AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen
Final Result
1:3
Nijmegen to win
Our Prediction
Missed
57%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
57%
±11%
|
1.81 | +4.0% |
| Draw |
22%
±3%
|
4.15 | -8.1% |
| Nijmegen wins |
20%
±8%
|
3.80 | -22.4% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen
Shots
16.9
9.4
Shots On Target
6.4
3.2
Corners
7.0
3.2
Fouls
9.2
8.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
4Draws
3Nijmegen Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 2:1 | Eredivisie |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Draw | 3:3 | Eredivisie |
| 17 Aug 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:0 | Eredivisie |
| 28 Apr 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 0:3 | Eredivisie |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Nijmegen Win | 1:2 | Eredivisie |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Excelsior | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 3:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 4:3 | L |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | NAC Breda | 3:4 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Ajax | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Volendam | 2:3 | W |