Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich wins |
46%
±11%
|
2.06 | -6.1% |
| Derby wins |
27%
±10%
|
3.60 | -1.6% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.35 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Ipswich
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Derby
Ipswich
Shots
11.0
15.1
Shots On Target
3.6
5.1
Corners
4.6
5.7
Fouls
12.3
11.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Ipswich
Shots
7.0
15.7
Shots On Target
1.3
4.7
Corners
3.3
7.0
Fouls
12.3
11.7
Yellow Cards
4.3
2.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
0Draws
1Ipswich Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | English Championship |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Ipswich Win | 0:2 | English Championship |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Ipswich Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 0:5 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Charlton | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wrexham | 1:2 | L |
Ipswich - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Preston | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 3:1 | L |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Oxford | 2:1 | W |