Southampton vs Watford
Final Result
1:0
Southampton to win
Our Prediction
Correct
50%
Southampton to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins |
50%
±10%
|
1.85 | -6.9% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.65 | -8.5% |
| Watford wins |
24%
±8%
|
4.00 | -2.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Southampton
Watford
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Southampton
Watford
Shots
14.5
13.9
Shots On Target
5.3
4.4
Corners
5.8
5.0
Fouls
10.5
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Southampton
Watford
Shots
11.2
10.0
Shots On Target
4.8
3.8
Corners
6.0
4.5
Fouls
9.5
14.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Southampton Wins
3Draws
2Watford Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | English Championship |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Southampton Win | 3:2 | English Championship |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Watford Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Southampton Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
Southampton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Stoke | 0:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Hull | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 4:0 | L |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Hull | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 0:2 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 0:2 | L |