Cheltenham vs Milton Keynes Dons
Final Result
2:3
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Our Prediction
Correct
52%
Milton Keynes Dons to win
±9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons wins |
52%
±9%
|
1.73 | -10.0% |
| Cheltenham wins |
21%
±8%
|
4.30 | -10.2% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.65 | -1.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Shots
10.2
12.4
Shots On Target
3.0
4.6
Corners
4.2
4.5
Fouls
11.1
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Shots
10.6
13.3
Shots On Target
3.4
5.7
Corners
3.7
4.6
Fouls
11.7
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cheltenham Wins
0Draws
3Milton Keynes Dons Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons Win | 5:0 | English League Two |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons Win | 0:1 | English League Two |
| 16 Nov 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons Win | 3:2 | English League Two |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | English League Two |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Draw | 0:0 | English League Two |
Cheltenham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Accrington | 3:1 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Grimsby | 0:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Oldham | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crawley Town | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Crewe | 4:1 | L |
Milton Keynes Dons - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Grimsby | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bristol Rvs | 1:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Shrewsbury | 5:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Accrington | 0:2 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Chesterfield | 2:2 | D |