Rochdale vs Carlisle
Final Result
1:0
Rochdale to win
Our Prediction
Correct
53%
Rochdale to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale wins |
53%
±12%
|
1.73 | -8.7% |
| Draw |
29%
±4%
|
3.45 | -0.3% |
| Carlisle wins |
18%
±8%
|
4.17 | -24.3% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rochdale
Carlisle
Shots
9.8
8.0
Shots On Target
3.0
2.4
Corners
2.4
3.4
Fouls
7.6
8.6
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rochdale Wins
2Draws
1Carlisle Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Rochdale Win | 0:2 | English Conference / National League |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Carlisle Win | 0:1 | English Conference / National League |
| 3 Sep 2022 | Draw | 3:3 | English Conference / National League |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Rochdale Win | 2:0 | English Conference / National League |
| 1 Mar 2022 | Carlisle Win | 2:0 | English Conference / National League |
Rochdale - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Boreham Wood | 4:1 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Southend | 2:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Truro | 2:0 | W |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Solihull | 0:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gateshead | 0:2 | W |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Altrincham | 3:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Aldershot | - | - |
| 21 Jan 2026 | York | 0:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Solihull | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Wealdstone | 2:0 | W |