Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins |
55%
±10%
|
1.81 | -1.0% |
| St Pauli wins |
20%
±8%
|
4.33 | -15.1% |
| Draw |
26%
±2%
|
3.68 | -5.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
Stuttgart
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
St Pauli
Stuttgart
Shots
10.3
15.2
Shots On Target
3.4
6.1
Corners
4.8
5.7
Fouls
9.6
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
Stuttgart
Shots
10.0
18.3
Shots On Target
4.0
5.7
Corners
3.0
7.0
Fouls
11.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
1Draws
1Stuttgart Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2025 | Stuttgart Win | 2:0 | Bundesliga |
| 3 May 2025 | Stuttgart Win | 0:1 | Bundesliga |
| 21 Dec 2024 | St Pauli Win | 0:1 | Bundesliga |
| 1 Feb 2020 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Hamburg | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 3:2 | L |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 2:1 | L |
Stuttgart - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Freiburg | 1:0 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 0:3 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:2 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Leverkusen | 1:4 | W |