Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins |
56%
±10%
|
1.73 | -4.0% |
| Nantes wins |
19%
±8%
|
4.78 | -9.2% |
| Draw |
25%
±3%
|
3.73 | -5.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nantes
Lyon
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Nantes
Lyon
Shots
10.9
12.3
Shots On Target
3.2
4.6
Corners
3.6
5.9
Fouls
12.4
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nantes
Lyon
Shots
11.6
14.0
Shots On Target
4.3
6.2
Corners
5.0
5.4
Fouls
10.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nantes Wins
0Draws
3Lyon Wins
7| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Lyon Win | 3:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Lyon Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 7 Apr 2024 | Lyon Win | 1:3 | Ligue 1 |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Lyon Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
Nantes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Lorient | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nice | 1:4 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Paris FC | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Marseille | 0:2 | W |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Angers | 4:1 | L |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Lille | 1:0 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Metz | 2:5 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Brest | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Monaco | 1:3 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Le Havre | 1:0 | W |