Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
58%
±12%
|
1.83 | +6.3% |
| Draw |
21%
±3%
|
3.50 | -28.2% |
| Hibernian wins |
21%
±9%
|
4.05 | -13.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hearts
Hibernian
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Hearts
Hibernian
Shots
14.4
12.1
Shots On Target
5.1
4.4
Corners
5.6
4.9
Fouls
10.9
10.7
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hearts
Hibernian
Shots
12.2
13.4
Shots On Target
3.4
4.4
Corners
5.7
4.6
Fouls
10.1
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hearts Wins
2Draws
4Hibernian Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Hibernian Win | 3:2 | Scottish Premiership |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Hearts Win | 1:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Hibernian Win | 2:1 | Scottish Premiership |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Hibernian Win | 1:2 | Scottish Premiership |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish Premiership |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | St Mirren | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Celtic | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
Hibernian - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | Dundee United | 3:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Rangers | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 4:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Motherwell | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Kilmarnock | 1:3 | W |