Leverkusen vs St Pauli
Final Result
4:0
Leverkusen to win
Our Prediction
Correct
63%
Leverkusen to win
±10%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen wins |
63%
±10%
|
1.47 | -8.0% |
| Draw |
22%
±3%
|
4.04 | -12.1% |
| St Pauli wins |
16%
±7%
|
6.50 | +1.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leverkusen
St Pauli
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Leverkusen
St Pauli
Shots
15.4
10.3
Shots On Target
5.3
3.4
Corners
5.8
4.8
Fouls
8.6
9.6
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leverkusen
St Pauli
Shots
5.5
12.5
Shots On Target
3.0
5.0
Corners
4.0
8.5
Fouls
9.5
11.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
3.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leverkusen Wins
2Draws
1St Pauli Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Leverkusen Win | 1:2 | Bundesliga |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 2:1 | Bundesliga |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | 1:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Stuttgart | 1:4 | L |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Hamburg | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 3:2 | L |