Hamburg vs Union Berlin
Final Result
3:2
Hamburg to win
Our Prediction
Missed
38%
Union Berlin to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins |
38%
±11%
|
2.88 | +7.9% |
| Hamburg wins |
36%
±11%
|
2.50 | -10.7% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.25 | -13.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamburg
Union Berlin
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Hamburg
Union Berlin
Shots
12.3
12.5
Shots On Target
4.6
3.9
Corners
3.7
5.0
Fouls
11.8
12.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamburg
Union Berlin
Shots
16.0
11.0
Shots On Target
6.0
2.0
Corners
3.0
5.0
Fouls
17.0
18.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
1.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamburg Wins
0Draws
1Union Berlin Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Bundesliga |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 0:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Freiburg | 2:1 | L |
Union Berlin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | 3:1 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Dortmund | 0:3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Stuttgart | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 1:1 | D |