Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins |
54%
±12%
|
1.79 | -3.7% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
3.55 | -16.4% |
| Luton wins |
23%
±10%
|
3.95 | -10.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cardiff
Luton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Cardiff
Luton
Shots
15.8
13.2
Shots On Target
5.4
4.0
Corners
6.2
6.1
Fouls
9.6
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cardiff
Luton
Shots
13.3
11.4
Shots On Target
3.8
3.1
Corners
5.8
5.2
Fouls
11.0
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cardiff Wins
5Draws
0Luton Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Cardiff Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Luton Win | 1:2 | English League One |
| 6 Nov 2024 | Luton Win | 1:0 | English League One |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Luton Win | 1:0 | English League One |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Luton Win | 1:2 | English League One |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Rotherham | 0:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burton | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnsley | 4:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Stockport | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bradford | 1:2 | W |
Luton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bradford | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 1:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:2 | D |