Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins |
65%
±10%
|
1.73 | +13.2% |
| Draw |
21%
±3%
|
3.70 | -23.5% |
| Brest wins |
14%
±6%
|
4.75 | -34.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lille
Brest
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Lille
Brest
Shots
13.6
11.2
Shots On Target
4.7
3.5
Corners
5.6
3.9
Fouls
10.8
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lille
Brest
Shots
13.4
9.5
Shots On Target
4.7
3.0
Corners
6.4
2.8
Fouls
12.1
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lille Wins
3Draws
5Brest Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | Draw | 3:3 | Ligue 1 |
| 10 May 2025 | Brest Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Lille Win | 3:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Lille Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Metz | 0:0 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Lyon | 1:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:4 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Paris SG | 3:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rennes | 0:2 | L |
Brest - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Lorient | 2:0 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Nice | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Toulouse | 0:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Auxerre | 2:0 | W |