Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol wins |
36%
±11%
|
2.45 | -11.4% |
| Bari wins |
33%
±11%
|
2.86 | -6.2% |
| Draw |
31%
±1%
|
3.05 | -5.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bari
Sudtirol
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Bari
Sudtirol
Shots
10.3
12.2
Shots On Target
3.1
3.4
Corners
3.4
4.3
Fouls
14.1
16.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bari
Sudtirol
Shots
14.0
9.5
Shots On Target
3.2
3.2
Corners
7.0
4.2
Fouls
13.2
15.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bari Wins
2Draws
3Sudtirol Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Serie B |
| 13 May 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Serie B |
| 21 Apr 2025 | - | - | Serie B |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Sudtirol Win | 0:1 | Serie B |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Sudtirol Win | 1:0 | Serie B |
Bari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Spezia | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Mantova | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Palermo | 0:3 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cesena | 1:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Juve Stabia | 0:1 | L |
Sudtirol - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Monza | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Carrarese | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Catanzaro | 2:1 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Padova | 3:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Empoli | 0:1 | W |