La Liga Primera Division 15 Feb 2026 10:15 Match Finished

Vallecano vs Ath Madrid

Our Prediction Missed
52% Ath Madrid to win

±10%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Ath Madrid wins
52% ±10%
1.86 -3.1%
Vallecano wins
21% ±8%
4.20 -12.5%
Draw
27% ±2%
3.40 -8.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Vallecano
Ath Madrid

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.

Stat
Vallecano
Ath Madrid
Shots 14.1 13.1
Shots On Target 4.8 5.1
Corners 5.8 6.5
Fouls 13.6 11.2
Yellow Cards 2.6 2.1
Red Cards 0.2 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Vallecano
Ath Madrid
Shots 11.9 13.4
Shots On Target 2.6 5.2
Corners 5.0 4.9
Fouls 12.4 11.2
Yellow Cards 1.4 1.5
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Vallecano Wins

0

Draws

2

Ath Madrid Wins

7
Date Result Score Competition
24 Sep 2025 Ath Madrid Win 3:2 La Liga Primera Division
24 Apr 2025 Ath Madrid Win 3:0 La Liga Primera Division
22 Sep 2024 Draw 1:1 La Liga Primera Division
31 Jan 2024 Ath Madrid Win 2:1 La Liga Primera Division
28 Aug 2023 Ath Madrid Win 0:7 La Liga Primera Division

Vallecano - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Feb 2026 Real Madrid 2:1 L
24 Jan 2026 Osasuna 1:3 L
18 Jan 2026 Celta 3:0 L
11 Jan 2026 Mallorca 2:1 W
2 Jan 2026 Getafe 1:1 D

Ath Madrid - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
8 Feb 2026 Betis 0:1 L
31 Jan 2026 Levante 0:0 D
25 Jan 2026 Mallorca 3:0 W
18 Jan 2026 Alaves 1:0 W
4 Jan 2026 Sociedad 1:1 D