Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burton wins |
45%
±11%
|
2.23 | -0.1% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.25 | -8.7% |
| Rotherham wins |
27%
±9%
|
3.10 | -16.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burton
Rotherham
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Burton
Rotherham
Shots
11.3
10.2
Shots On Target
3.5
3.1
Corners
5.3
4.5
Fouls
10.9
12.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burton
Rotherham
Shots
13.5
15.5
Shots On Target
5.7
4.5
Corners
5.3
7.0
Fouls
9.5
8.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
0.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burton Wins
2Draws
2Rotherham Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | English League One |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Burton Win | 4:2 | English League One |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | English League One |
| 19 Apr 2022 | Burton Win | 2:0 | English League One |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Rotherham Win | 3:1 | English League One |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Port Vale | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Doncaster | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Cardiff | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:1 | L |
Rotherham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Cardiff | 0:3 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Exeter | 0:4 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Northampton | 2:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Stockport | 3:2 | L |