Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins |
43%
±12%
|
2.18 | -7.1% |
| Plymouth wins |
31%
±11%
|
2.93 | -10.6% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.60 | -3.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Plymouth
Cardiff
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Plymouth
Cardiff
Shots
13.6
15.8
Shots On Target
4.7
5.4
Corners
5.6
6.2
Fouls
11.9
9.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Plymouth
Cardiff
Shots
11.2
15.0
Shots On Target
3.4
6.2
Corners
2.8
6.4
Fouls
9.4
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Plymouth Wins
1Draws
2Cardiff Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Cardiff Win | 4:0 | English League One |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English League One |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Cardiff Win | 5:0 | English League One |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Plymouth Win | 3:1 | English League One |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | English League One |
Plymouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1:3 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Blackpool | 0:4 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Lincoln | 1:4 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Stockport | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Mansfield | 1:1 | D |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 4:1 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Luton | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Rotherham | 0:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burton | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnsley | 4:0 | W |