Aston Villa vs Leeds
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
54%
Aston Villa to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
54%
±11%
|
1.86 | +1.3% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
3.60 | -13.8% |
| Leeds wins |
22%
±8%
|
4.17 | -10.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Leeds
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Aston Villa
Leeds
Shots
12.7
12.6
Shots On Target
4.5
4.0
Corners
5.2
4.4
Fouls
10.0
10.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Leeds
Shots
13.1
14.1
Shots On Target
5.1
4.4
Corners
4.9
6.0
Fouls
12.9
15.1
Yellow Cards
1.9
3.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
4Draws
2Leeds Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa Win | 1:2 | English Premier League |
| 13 Jan 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 2 Oct 2022 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 10 Mar 2022 | Aston Villa Win | 0:3 | English Premier League |
| 9 Feb 2022 | Draw | 3:3 | English Premier League |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Brighton | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Everton | 0:1 | L |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:4 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |