Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins |
49%
±11%
|
2.00 | -2.9% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.60 | -10.7% |
| Brighton wins |
27%
±9%
|
3.55 | -5.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brentford
Brighton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Brentford
Brighton
Shots
10.7
13.0
Shots On Target
3.9
4.6
Corners
4.8
4.9
Fouls
10.3
11.9
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brentford
Brighton
Shots
9.3
18.3
Shots On Target
3.8
6.3
Corners
3.0
7.7
Fouls
9.6
11.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brentford Wins
2Draws
3Brighton Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Brighton Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Brentford Win | 4:2 | English Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 3 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Brighton Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
Brentford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2:3 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 2:0 | L |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |