Primeira Liga 21 Feb 2026 13:00 Match Finished

Moreirense vs Sp Lisbon

Our Prediction Correct
72% Sp Lisbon to win

±8%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Sp Lisbon wins
72% ±8%
1.29 -7.1%
Moreirense wins
9% ±4%
10.13 -7.1%
Draw
19% ±3%
5.25 -2.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Moreirense
Sp Lisbon

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.

Stat
Moreirense
Sp Lisbon
Shots 9.0 17.7
Shots On Target 3.2 6.8
Corners 3.7 6.9
Fouls 13.8 12.2
Yellow Cards 2.5 2.2
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Moreirense
Sp Lisbon
Shots 6.2 15.8
Shots On Target 1.2 5.6
Corners 2.9 6.7
Fouls 15.8 14.8
Yellow Cards 2.3 2.2
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Moreirense Wins

1

Draws

2

Sp Lisbon Wins

7
Date Result Score Competition
22 Sep 2025 Sp Lisbon Win 3:0 Primeira Liga
18 Apr 2025 Sp Lisbon Win 3:1 Primeira Liga
5 Dec 2024 Moreirense Win 2:1 Primeira Liga
19 Feb 2024 Sp Lisbon Win 0:2 Primeira Liga
17 Sep 2023 Sp Lisbon Win 3:0 Primeira Liga

Moreirense - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
16 Feb 2026 Rio Ave 1:2 W
7 Feb 2026 Gil Vicente 1:2 L
30 Jan 2026 Guimaraes 1:0 L
24 Jan 2026 Santa Clara 1:0 W
17 Jan 2026 Alverca 2:1 L

Sp Lisbon - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
15 Feb 2026 Famalicao 1:0 W
9 Feb 2026 Porto 1:1 D
1 Feb 2026 Nacional 2:1 W
24 Jan 2026 Arouca 1:2 W
16 Jan 2026 Casa Pia 3:0 W