Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza wins |
46%
±12%
|
2.01 | -8.4% |
| Carrarese wins |
26%
±10%
|
3.60 | -7.3% |
| Draw |
29%
±2%
|
3.35 | -4.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Carrarese
Monza
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Carrarese
Monza
Shots
13.3
14.5
Shots On Target
3.9
4.8
Corners
5.7
5.7
Fouls
13.2
13.6
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Carrarese
Monza
Shots
9.0
15.0
Shots On Target
4.0
12.0
Corners
8.0
5.0
Fouls
12.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Carrarese Wins
0Draws
0Monza Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Monza Win | 4:1 | Serie B |
Carrarese - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Modena | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Padova | 1:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Sudtirol | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Venezia | 2:1 | L |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Empoli | 3:0 | W |
Monza - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Juve Stabia | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Sudtirol | 0:0 | D |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Avellino | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Padova | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Pescara | 3:0 | W |