St Pauli vs Werder Bremen
Final Result
2:1
St Pauli to win
Our Prediction
Correct
36%
St Pauli to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Pauli wins |
36%
±11%
|
2.75 | -0.2% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.10 | -13.0% |
| Werder Bremen wins |
36%
±11%
|
2.73 | -2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Shots
10.3
13.0
Shots On Target
3.4
4.1
Corners
4.8
4.5
Fouls
9.6
9.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Shots
13.5
12.8
Shots On Target
3.5
3.2
Corners
3.0
5.0
Fouls
9.5
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
0Draws
3Werder Bremen Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Werder Bremen Win | 1:0 | Bundesliga |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Bundesliga |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Werder Bremen Win | 0:2 | Bundesliga |
| 9 Apr 2022 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Draw | 1:1 | Bundesliga |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Leverkusen | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Augsburg | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Hamburg | 0:0 | D |
Werder Bremen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Bayern Munich | 0:3 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Freiburg | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Hoffenheim | 0:2 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Leverkusen | 1:0 | L |