Hartlepool vs Carlisle
Final Result
3:1
Hartlepool to win
Our Prediction
Correct
43%
Hartlepool to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool wins |
43%
±12%
|
3.00 | +30.5% |
| Draw |
31%
±3%
|
3.35 | +2.4% |
| Carlisle wins |
26%
±10%
|
2.10 | -45.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Shots
7.8
9.8
Shots On Target
2.0
4.8
Corners
2.2
3.6
Fouls
8.0
8.4
Yellow Cards
0.6
0.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hartlepool Wins
1Draws
1Carlisle Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2025 | Carlisle Win | 3:1 | English Conference / National League |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Carlisle Win | 3:1 | English Conference / National League |
| 8 Oct 2022 | Carlisle Win | 1:3 | English Conference / National League |
| 18 Jan 2022 | Draw | 0:0 | English Conference / National League |
| 28 Aug 2021 | Hartlepool Win | 2:1 | English Conference / National League |
Hartlepool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Solihull | 3:4 | W |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Wealdstone | - | - |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Sutton | - | - |
| 11 Feb 2026 | York | 3:2 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Tamworth | 1:1 | D |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Yeovil | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Forest Green | 1:3 | W |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Scunthorpe | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Rochdale | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Altrincham | 3:1 | W |