Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins Top Bet Landed |
51%
±27%
|
1.03 | -47.1% |
| Draw |
24%
±5%
|
44.11 | +957.1% |
| Paraguay wins |
25%
±22%
|
171.38 | +4,119.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
USA
Paraguay
Head-to-Head History
USA Wins
4Draws
0Paraguay Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | USA Win | 2:1 | World Cup |
| 28 Mar 2018 | USA Win | 1:0 | World Cup |
| 12 Jun 2016 | USA Win | 1:0 | World Cup |
| 5 Jun 2016 | USA Win | 1:0 | World Cup |
| 30 Mar 2011 | Paraguay Win | 0:1 | World Cup |
USA - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2026 | Portugal | 0:2 | L |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Belgium | 2:5 | L |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Uruguay | 5:1 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Paraguay | 2:1 | W |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Australia | 2:1 | W |
Paraguay - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Morocco | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Greece | 0:1 | W |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Mexico | 1:2 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | USA | 2:1 | L |
| 14 Oct 2025 | South Korea | 2:0 | L |