Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| England wins |
71%
±21%
|
1.72 | +23.2% |
| Draw |
17%
±8%
|
3.71 | -35.2% |
| Croatia wins |
11%
±13%
|
5.03 | -44.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
England
Croatia
Head-to-Head History
England Wins
3Draws
0Croatia Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2021 | England Win | 1:0 | World Cup |
| 11 Jul 2018 | Croatia Win | 2:1 | World Cup |
| 9 Sep 2009 | England Win | 5:1 | World Cup |
| 10 Sep 2008 | England Win | 1:4 | World Cup |
| 21 Nov 2007 | Croatia Win | 2:3 | World Cup |
England - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Japan | 0:1 | L |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Uruguay | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Oct 2025 | Wales | 3:0 | W |
| 10 Jun 2025 | Senegal | 1:3 | L |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Spain | 2:1 | L |
Croatia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2026 | Brazil | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Colombia | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Jun 2024 | Italy | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Jun 2024 | Albania | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Jun 2024 | Spain | 3:0 | L |