Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins |
70%
±21%
|
1.59 | +10.5% |
| Draw |
19%
±8%
|
4.30 | -19.9% |
| Australia wins |
12%
±13%
|
5.30 | -37.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
USA
Australia
Head-to-Head History
USA Wins
2Draws
0Australia Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | USA Win | 2:1 | World Cup |
| 5 Jun 2010 | USA Win | 3:1 | World Cup |
USA - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | Paraguay | 4:1 | W |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Portugal | 0:2 | L |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Belgium | 2:5 | L |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Uruguay | 5:1 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Paraguay | 2:1 | W |
Australia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | Turkey | 2:0 | W |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Colombia | 3:0 | L |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Venezuela | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Oct 2025 | USA | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Canada | 0:1 | W |