Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany wins Top Bet |
44%
±28%
|
1.70 | -24.8% |
| Ecuador wins |
31%
±26%
|
4.87 | +52.2% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.79 | -7.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ecuador
Germany
Head-to-Head History
Ecuador Wins
0Draws
0Germany Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May 2013 | Germany Win | 4:2 | World Cup |
Ecuador - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | Curaçao | - | - |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Ivory Coast | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Netherlands | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Morocco | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Nov 2025 | New Zealand | 2:0 | W |
Germany - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2026 | Ivory Coast | - | - |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Curaçao | 7:1 | W |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Ghana | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Switzerland | 3:4 | W |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Spain | 2:1 | L |