Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
47%
±12%
|
2.63 | +24.8% |
| Charlton wins |
25%
±10%
|
2.58 | -36.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±2%
|
3.22 | -10.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Charlton
Derby
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Charlton
Derby
Shots
10.3
14.7
Shots On Target
3.7
4.3
Corners
4.0
4.2
Fouls
12.7
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Charlton Wins
2Draws
1Derby Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Derby Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
| 27 Feb 2024 | Charlton Win | 1:2 | English Championship |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Derby Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Derby Win | 2:0 | English Championship |
Charlton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Swansea | 3:1 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Hull | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Ipswich | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Sheffield Weds | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Preston | 1:2 | L |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:2 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | QPR | 2:3 | W |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Norwich | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Oxford | 1:0 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Southampton | 2:1 | L |