Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea wins |
37%
±12%
|
2.88 | +7.3% |
| Stoke wins |
34%
±12%
|
2.36 | -19.5% |
| Draw |
29%
±1%
|
3.23 | -7.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stoke
Swansea
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stoke
Swansea
Shots
12.9
11.7
Shots On Target
4.5
3.8
Corners
6.2
5.0
Fouls
13.8
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stoke Wins
5Draws
3Swansea Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Swansea Win | 2:0 | English Championship |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Stoke Win | 2:1 | English Championship |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Stoke Win | 3:1 | English Championship |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
| 10 Apr 2024 | Swansea Win | 3:0 | English Championship |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Bristol City | 2:0 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:3 | L |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Millwall | 1:3 | L |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Wrexham | 2:0 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |
Swansea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Charlton | 3:1 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Norwich | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Apr 2026 | QPR | 1:2 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Southampton | 1:2 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Leicester | 0:1 | W |