Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luton wins |
55%
±10%
|
2.17 | +20.5% |
| Reading wins |
20%
±8%
|
2.97 | -42.0% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.36 | -15.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Reading
Luton
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Reading
Luton
Shots
10.1
12.8
Shots On Target
3.8
3.3
Corners
3.8
5.1
Fouls
11.9
10.9
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Reading Wins
4Draws
3Luton Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Reading Win | 2:3 | English League One |
| 18 Dec 2025 | Reading Win | 3:2 | English League One |
| 19 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | English League One |
| 1 Nov 2022 | Draw | 0:0 | English League One |
| 7 May 2022 | Luton Win | 1:0 | English League One |
Reading - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Blackpool | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Rotherham | 1:1 | D |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Cardiff | 1:3 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Doncaster | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Apr 2026 | Lincoln | 1:2 | L |
Luton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Bolton | 2:3 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Barnsley | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Rotherham | 0:2 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Mansfield | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Northampton | 2:1 | W |