Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage wins |
43%
±10%
|
3.09 | +31.4% |
| Burton wins |
30%
±10%
|
2.25 | -33.2% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.06 | -15.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burton
Stevenage
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burton
Stevenage
Shots
7.5
13.0
Shots On Target
2.8
4.7
Corners
4.0
6.3
Fouls
13.0
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burton Wins
2Draws
2Stevenage Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Stevenage Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | English League One |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Burton Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English League One |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Burton Win | 1:2 | English League One |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Leyton Orient | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Exeter | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Peterboro | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Apr 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Apr 2026 | Mansfield | 0:0 | D |
Stevenage - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Wigan | 1:0 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Doncaster | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Barnsley | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Lincoln | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Bolton | 5:1 | L |