Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins |
37%
±11%
|
2.58 | -5.3% |
| Draw |
29%
±1%
|
3.06 | -11.8% |
| Cagliari wins |
34%
±10%
|
2.80 | -3.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Parma
Cagliari
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Parma
Cagliari
Shots
14.6
13.4
Shots On Target
4.1
5.8
Corners
5.7
4.4
Fouls
13.7
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Parma Wins
1Draws
4Cagliari Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Draw | 1:1 | Serie A |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Cagliari Win | 2:0 | Serie A |
| 9 Feb 2025 | Cagliari Win | 2:1 | Serie A |
| 30 Sep 2024 | Cagliari Win | 2:3 | Serie A |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Parma Win | 2:1 | Serie A |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:0 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Como | 1:0 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Roma | 2:3 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Inter | 2:0 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Pisa | 1:0 | W |
Cagliari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Milan | 1:2 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Torino | 2:1 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Udinese | 0:2 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Bologna | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Atalanta | 3:2 | W |