Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins Top Bet |
57%
±10%
|
1.47 | -16.1% |
| Zwolle wins |
19%
±8%
|
5.62 | +4.3% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
4.42 | +7.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Zwolle
Ajax
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Zwolle
Ajax
Shots
8.9
14.2
Shots On Target
2.8
6.3
Corners
2.7
5.5
Fouls
9.8
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Zwolle Wins
0Draws
2Ajax Wins
8| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Draw | 0:0 | Eredivisie |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Ajax Win | 3:1 | Eredivisie |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Ajax Win | 0:1 | Eredivisie |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Ajax Win | 2:0 | Eredivisie |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Ajax Win | 1:3 | Eredivisie |
Zwolle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Feyenoord | 0:2 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | For Sittard | 3:2 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Heracles | 1:0 | W |
| 23 Apr 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 6:1 | L |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Excelsior | 2:2 | D |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Heerenveen | 0:0 | D |
| 10 May 2026 | Utrecht | 1:2 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | NAC Breda | 0:2 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Heracles | 0:3 | W |