Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
51%
±11%
|
1.84 | -6.9% |
| Draw |
26%
±3%
|
3.51 | -7.6% |
| Arouca wins |
23%
±8%
|
3.92 | -9.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Arouca
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Arouca
Shots
13.7
10.4
Shots On Target
5.2
4.1
Corners
6.5
3.6
Fouls
13.0
12.9
Yellow Cards
2.7
3.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
3Draws
4Arouca Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Arouca Win | 3:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 18 May 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:3 | Primeira Liga |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Nacional | 2:0 | L |
| 11 May 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:1 | L |
| 4 May 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 5:1 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Rio Ave | 2:0 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | W |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Gil Vicente | 1:3 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Santa Clara | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Alverca | 2:1 | L |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Estrela | 1:0 | W |