Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins Top Bet |
73%
±8%
|
1.18 | -13.4% |
| Estrela wins |
9%
±4%
|
11.67 | +1.3% |
| Draw |
18%
±3%
|
5.94 | +6.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Sp Lisbon
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Sp Lisbon
Shots
7.0
18.6
Shots On Target
3.6
6.0
Corners
2.2
8.6
Fouls
13.2
11.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
0.8
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
0Draws
0Sp Lisbon Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 4:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 1 Nov 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 5:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
| 11 May 2026 | Famalicao | 0:0 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Moreirense | 3:2 | L |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Porto | 1:2 | L |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Arouca | 1:0 | L |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Gil Vicente | 3:0 | W |
| 11 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:4 | W |
| 4 May 2026 | Guimaraes | 5:1 | W |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Tondela | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Apr 2026 | AVS | 1:1 | D |