Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins |
74%
±8%
|
1.17 | -14.0% |
| Draw |
17%
±4%
|
6.36 | +8.6% |
| Alverca wins |
9%
±4%
|
13.58 | +25.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Porto
Alverca
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Porto
Alverca
Shots
13.0
9.0
Shots On Target
4.5
4.5
Corners
3.0
4.0
Fouls
16.5
13.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Porto Wins
2Draws
0Alverca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Porto Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Porto Win | 0:3 | Primeira Liga |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | AVS | 3:1 | L |
| 2 May 2026 | Alverca | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Estrela | 1:2 | W |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Tondela | 2:0 | W |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Porto | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Arouca | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Nacional | 1:0 | L |