Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins |
74%
±20%
|
1.76 | +29.8% |
| Draw |
16%
±8%
|
3.62 | -40.2% |
| Croatia wins |
10%
±12%
|
4.89 | -52.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Portugal
Croatia
Head-to-Head History
Portugal Wins
3Draws
1Croatia Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2024 | Croatia Win | 1:2 | World Cup |
| 6 Sep 2018 | Draw | 1:1 | World Cup |
| 25 Jun 2016 | Portugal Win | 0:1 | World Cup |
| 10 Jun 2013 | Portugal Win | 0:1 | World Cup |
| 12 Nov 2005 | Portugal Win | 2:0 | World Cup |
Portugal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | Colombia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Uzbekistan | 5:0 | W |
| 17 Jun 2026 | DR Congo | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Apr 2026 | USA | 0:2 | W |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Mexico | 0:0 | D |
Croatia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | Ghana | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Panama | 0:1 | W |
| 17 Jun 2026 | England | 4:2 | L |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Brazil | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Colombia | 1:2 | W |