Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins |
43%
±29%
|
4.01 | +73.5% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
3.63 | -14.1% |
| Spain wins |
33%
±27%
|
1.92 | -36.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Portugal
Spain
Head-to-Head History
Portugal Wins
1Draws
3Spain Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2021 | Draw | 0:0 | World Cup |
| 7 Oct 2020 | Draw | 0:0 | World Cup |
| 15 Jun 2018 | Draw | 3:3 | World Cup |
| 27 Jun 2012 | Spain Win | 0:1 | World Cup |
| 17 Nov 2010 | Portugal Win | 4:0 | World Cup |
Portugal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | Croatia | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Colombia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Uzbekistan | 5:0 | W |
| 17 Jun 2026 | DR Congo | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Apr 2026 | USA | 0:2 | W |
Spain - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | Austria | 3:0 | W |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Uruguay | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Saudi Arabia | 4:0 | W |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Cape Verde | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Egypt | 0:0 | D |