Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins |
64%
±25%
|
2.29 | +47.8% |
| Draw |
19%
±8%
|
3.03 | -41.7% |
| Argentina wins |
16%
±18%
|
3.57 | -41.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spain
Argentina
Head-to-Head History
Spain Wins
2Draws
0Argentina Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2018 | Spain Win | 6:1 | World Cup |
| 7 Sep 2010 | Argentina Win | 4:1 | World Cup |
| 14 Nov 2009 | Spain Win | 2:1 | World Cup |
Spain - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | France | 0:2 | W |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Belgium | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Portugal | 0:1 | W |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Austria | 3:0 | W |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Uruguay | 0:1 | W |
Argentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | England | 1:2 | W |
| 12 Jul 2026 | Switzerland | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Egypt | 3:2 | W |
| 3 Jul 2026 | Cape Verde | 3:2 | W |
| 28 Jun 2026 | Jordan | 1:3 | W |