Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
56%
±9%
|
1.75 | -2.8% |
| Aberdeen wins |
21%
±7%
|
4.10 | -14.0% |
| Draw |
23%
±2%
|
3.70 | -13.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aberdeen
Hearts
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aberdeen
Hearts
Shots
10.0
14.8
Shots On Target
2.6
4.1
Corners
4.0
5.9
Fouls
14.3
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aberdeen Wins
3Draws
2Hearts Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Hearts Win | 1:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aberdeen Win | 1:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 4 Aug 2025 | Hearts Win | 2:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish Premiership |
Aberdeen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Dundee | 3:2 | L |
| 12 May 2026 | St Mirren | 0:2 | L |
| 9 May 2026 | Dundee United | 2:0 | W |
| 1 May 2026 | Livingston | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Kilmarnock | 1:0 | W |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Celtic | 3:1 | L |
| 13 May 2026 | Falkirk | 3:0 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Motherwell | 1:1 | D |
| 4 May 2026 | Rangers | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Hibernian | 1:2 | W |