Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins |
74%
±21%
|
1.70 | +25.5% |
| Draw |
16%
±8%
|
3.68 | -39.5% |
| Japan wins |
10%
±12%
|
5.26 | -47.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brazil
Japan
Head-to-Head History
Brazil Wins
4Draws
0Japan Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | Japan Win | 3:2 | World Cup |
| 6 Jun 2022 | Brazil Win | 0:1 | World Cup |
| 10 Nov 2017 | Brazil Win | 1:3 | World Cup |
| 14 Oct 2014 | Brazil Win | 0:4 | World Cup |
| 16 Oct 2012 | Brazil Win | 0:4 | World Cup |
Brazil - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | Scotland | 0:3 | W |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Haiti | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Morocco | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Croatia | 3:1 | W |
| 26 Mar 2026 | France | 1:2 | L |
Japan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Sweden | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Tunisia | 0:4 | W |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Netherlands | 2:2 | D |
| 31 Mar 2026 | England | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Scotland | 0:1 | W |