Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal wins |
86%
±11%
|
1.25 | +7.4% |
| Draw |
11%
±7%
|
5.28 | -43.9% |
| Wales wins |
4%
±5%
|
9.41 | -67.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Portugal
Wales
Head-to-Head History
Portugal Wins
1Draws
0Wales Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2016 | Portugal Win | 2:0 | UEFA Nations League |
Portugal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | Spain | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Croatia | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Colombia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Uzbekistan | 5:0 | W |
| 17 Jun 2026 | DR Congo | 1:1 | D |
Wales - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Northern Ireland | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Oct 2025 | England | 3:0 | L |
| 9 Sep 2025 | Canada | 0:1 | L |
| 9 Jun 2024 | Slovakia | 4:0 | L |
| 6 Jun 2024 | Gibraltar | 0:0 | D |