Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| England wins Top Bet |
39%
±29%
|
2.50 | -1.2% |
| Draw |
24%
±1%
|
3.23 | -23.4% |
| Spain wins |
37%
±28%
|
2.46 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
England
Spain
Head-to-Head History
England Wins
1Draws
1Spain Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2024 | Spain Win | 2:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 15 Nov 2016 | Draw | 2:2 | UEFA Nations League |
| 13 Nov 2015 | Spain Win | 2:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 12 Nov 2011 | England Win | 1:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 11 Feb 2009 | Spain Win | 2:0 | UEFA Nations League |
England - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | France | 4:6 | W |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Argentina | 1:2 | L |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Norway | 1:2 | W |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Mexico | 2:3 | W |
| 1 Jul 2026 | DR Congo | 2:1 | W |
Spain - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026 | Argentina | - | - |
| 14 Jul 2026 | France | 0:2 | W |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Belgium | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Portugal | 0:1 | W |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Austria | 3:0 | W |