Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins |
84%
±13%
|
1.34 | +12.0% |
| Draw |
12%
±7%
|
4.82 | -44.5% |
| Croatia wins |
5%
±6%
|
8.49 | -61.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spain
Croatia
Head-to-Head History
Spain Wins
4Draws
0Croatia Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun 2024 | Spain Win | 3:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 28 Jun 2021 | Spain Win | 3:5 | UEFA Nations League |
| 21 Jun 2016 | Croatia Win | 2:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 18 Jun 2012 | Spain Win | 0:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 7 Jun 2006 | Spain Win | 1:2 | UEFA Nations League |
Spain - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | England | - | - |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Argentina | - | - |
| 14 Jul 2026 | France | 0:2 | W |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Belgium | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Jul 2026 | Portugal | 0:1 | W |
Croatia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Czechia | - | - |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Portugal | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Ghana | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Panama | 0:1 | W |
| 17 Jun 2026 | England | 4:2 | L |