Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior wins Top Bet |
40%
±9%
|
2.28 | -8.8% |
| Willem II wins |
32%
±9%
|
2.84 | -10.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.53 | +0.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Willem II
Excelsior
Willem II - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Heerenveen | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Nijmegen | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | - | - |
| 18 May 2025 | NAC Breda | 1:1 | D |
| 14 May 2025 | Zwolle | 1:2 | L |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | - | - |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cambuur | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2:3 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Volendam | 1:1 | D |