Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins Top Bet |
51%
±12%
|
2.25 | +14.6% |
| Draw |
26%
±3%
|
3.34 | -13.6% |
| Arouca wins |
23%
±10%
|
2.97 | -31.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estoril
Arouca
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estoril
Arouca
Shots
12.7
12.9
Shots On Target
4.7
4.4
Corners
5.1
3.9
Fouls
15.5
15.2
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estoril Wins
4Draws
1Arouca Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Arouca Win | 3:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Estoril Win | 4:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Estoril Win | 4:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Arouca Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Benfica | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Rio Ave | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Nacional | - | - |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Famalicao | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Benfica | 1:3 | L |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Porto | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | W |