Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins Top Bet |
46%
±11%
|
1.71 | -21.4% |
| Estrela wins |
27%
±10%
|
4.68 | +26.5% |
| Draw |
27%
±2%
|
3.60 | -2.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Sp Braga
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Sp Braga
Shots
9.0
13.7
Shots On Target
4.2
6.2
Corners
3.8
7.8
Fouls
12.5
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
0Draws
3Sp Braga Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Draw | 3:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 3:0 | Primeira Liga |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Famalicao | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Nacional | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Alverca | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Sp Braga | 2:2 | D |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Alverca | - | - |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Estrela | 2:2 | D |